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Heat Near 90 Lingers Into Veterans Day as High Surf Brings Coastal Flood Advisory to L.A. Beaches

Highs run 10 to 15 degrees above normal through Wednesday, a west swell peaks Monday with 7-foot-plus morning tides, and rain is likely sometime Saturday through Monday.

By Herald Staff ·
Waves break white over a dark rock jetty at Venice Beach at sunset, with heavy gray-violet clouds above a thin band of orange light on the horizon.
Surf breaks over a rock jetty at Venice Beach at sunset in 2021. Forecasters are urging beachgoers to stay off jetties through Tuesday as a west swell and high morning tides bring a Coastal Flood Advisory to L.A. County beaches. Photo: Levi Clancy / Wikimedia Commons, CC0 (license).

LOS ANGELES — Los Angeles will stay summer-warm into Veterans Day, with highs around 90 degrees downtown and in the valleys through Tuesday, while a building west swell and high morning tides keep a Coastal Flood Advisory in effect on the county's beaches until noon Tuesday, according to the National Weather Service in Oxnard. Forecasters say the heat breaks Thursday, and rain is likely at some point between Saturday and Monday.

The weather service's Monday morning discussion described the next three days as "very pleasant and benign," with high pressure parked over Southern California and light offshore flow from the north and east. Daytime highs will barely change from day to day and will run 10 to 15 degrees above normal, forecasters wrote. Morning offshore breezes will be weak, "nothing close to advisory levels," and the very dry air will let nights cool off more than usual in spots sheltered from the wind.

Around 90 Through Tuesday, Mid-80s on Veterans Day

For the inland coastal plain, including downtown Los Angeles, Hollywood, Culver City, Beverly Hills, Compton, Downey and Norwalk, the zone forecast calls for sunny skies and highs around 90 on Monday and Tuesday, the mid-80s on Veterans Day Wednesday and the low 80s Thursday. Lows will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

The western San Fernando Valley, including Northridge, Woodland Hills, Van Nuys and Chatsworth, will see highs in the 80s to around 90 on Monday and Tuesday, with northeast winds around 15 mph in the mornings. Overnight lows there drop to the mid 40s to mid 50s on the valley floor but stay in the mid 60s to around 70 in the hills. The San Gabriel Valley, from East Los Angeles and El Monte to Pasadena and Pomona, is forecast to reach the mid 80s to low 90s on both days.

Even the beaches will be warm. The forecast for the Los Angeles County coast, including LAX, Santa Monica, Torrance, Redondo Beach and Long Beach, calls for highs from the mid 80s to low 90s on Monday and the low 80s at the water on Tuesday.

Swell Peaks Monday on West-Facing Beaches

At the coast, the bigger concern is water. A west-to-northwest swell was forecast to peak on Monday, arriving with morning high tides of 7.2 to 7.6 feet, according to the weather service's coastal hazard message. For the Los Angeles County beaches, the Malibu coast and Catalina Island, the advisory warns of minor to locally moderate flooding around high tide, breaking waves of 4 to 6 feet on west-facing beaches, dangerous rip currents and more beach erosion. Seawater could also pool in beach and harbor areas that usually stay dry.

Forecasters said this event is different from the record tides of two weeks ago and from the September and early October flooding, when swells came from the south. Because this swell comes from the west, south-facing areas such as Malibu and Long Beach, which were hit hard earlier this fall, are less exposed. The weather service expects only minor problems in harbors and on Long Beach's Naples Island. Ventura County beaches face a higher risk, with breaking waves of 6 to 9 feet expected Monday under a High Surf Advisory. Forecasters also noted that erosion from earlier storms has already thinned the sand that normally protects coastal roads and buildings.

The weather service urged beachgoers to stay out of the water or near an occupied lifeguard tower, stay off rock jetties, and never drive around barricades or through water of unknown depth.

Cooling Thursday, Then a Chance of Rain

The pattern changes late in the week. Forecasters expect a sharp trough or a cutoff low approaching from the west to push the ridge east on Thursday. Winds will turn onshore, and highs should fall 5 to 6 degrees, locally 8. Friday could bring morning marine-layer clouds and another 1 to 3 degrees of cooling, though temperatures should still run about 4 degrees above normal.

Timing the rain remains the hard part. The weather service said computer models "continue to struggle" with a storm that could arrive anytime from Saturday to Monday. It now puts the chance of rain at 30 to 40 percent on each of those days and said rain will probably fall at some point in that stretch, though likely not on all three days. The storm has been trending slower and farther south, which lowers the odds of heavy downpours. The downtown forecast shows a 20 percent chance of showers after midnight Saturday and a 40 percent chance Sunday, with highs in the low to mid 70s.

Forecasters added that the "storm door" is expected to stay open through next week. The Nov. 6 weather synopsis from UCLA's Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences similarly flagged the 16th and 17th as the best chance for a wider soaking, with the potential for at least half an inch of rain in the lowlands, while cautioning that the models could still shift drier.

Original reporting by The Los Angeles Herald, drawing on the National Weather Service's Los Angeles/Oxnard forecast discussion, zone forecast and coastal hazard message, and UCLA's Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, as linked above.

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